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Each week the staff at NASCAR.COM will pick a race winner, a dark horse for the checkers and the ain't-got-a-chance driver (no scrubs; someone with a Q score).
Our scoring system: Experts receive as many points as the "winner" pick gets in the race.
| Writer | Winner | Here's why ... | Dark Horse | No Chance | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Pate | Jimmie Johnson | Kyle dominated there in June. Carl wins on concrete and has the best average finish. But Jimmie? Jimmie's thinking title. | Kurt Busch | Denny Hamlin | 3,992 |
| Raygan Swan | Carl Edwards | Concrete Carl has the best driver rating of any of the other Chase drivers in Dover. Here's hoping he doesn't slip and hurt himself doing a backflip on said concrete. | Jamie McMurray | Matt Kenseth | 3,920 |
| Bill Kimm | Carl Edwards | It will either Biffle or Edwards, and I just don't see the 16 doing it twice in a row. Edwards is a beast at the Monster Mile with a win, two seconds and a third in the last four races. Edwards takes the points lead outright come Sunday night. | David Reutimann | Tony Stewart | 3,912 |
| Duane Cross | Greg Biffle | There's no reason to think he won't build on his recent successes at Dover: one win, four top-five finishes, seven top-10s and a series-best average finish of 8.2 in the past 10 races. | Ryan Newman | Clint Bowyer | 3,911 |
| David Caraviello | Kyle Busch | He didn't just win there in June, he kicked everyone's fannies. He comes back mad and needing to make up ground. Watch out. | Ryan Newman | Jeff Gordon | 3,826 |
| Joe Menzer | Jeff Gordon | OK, so I keep picking him and looking like a fool. But he has been an absolute Monster at this mile track and will finally break out of his slump. | Mark Martin | Matt Kenseth | 3,733 |
| Dave Rodman | Greg Biffle | Biffle's on a roll and his recent Dover record -- the best average finish of anyone over the last five races -- says two in a row is highly likely. | Mark Martin | Tony Stewart | 3,684 |
| Jarrod Breeze | Kyle Busch | Dover hasn't been swept since 2003. His victory in June was his fifth top-five in seven starts. | Dave Blaney | Matt Kenseth | 3,509 |
| Mark Aumann | Kyle Busch | He dominated in the spring and has five top-five finishes in seven career Dover starts. A good place for him to rebound. | Ryan Newman | Kevin Harvick | 3,492 |
| POPULAR ALERTS | ||||
|
| Pos. | +/- | Driver | Points | Behind |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | +1 | Carl Edwards | 5220 | Leader |
| 2. | +1 | Jimmie Johnson | 5220 | Leader |
| 3. | +6 | Greg Biffle | 5190 | -30 |
| 4. | -- | Dale Earnhardt Jr. | 5170 | -50 |
| 5. | +2 | Jeff Burton | 5170 | -50 |
| 6. | -- | Denny Hamlin | 5148 | -72 |
| 7. | +1 | Tony Stewart | 5147 | -73 |
| 8. | -7 | Kyle Busch | 5146 | -74 |
| 9. | -4 | Clint Bowyer | 5137 | -83 |
| 10. | +1 | Kevin Harvick | 5134 | -86 |
| 11. | -1 | Jeff Gordon | 5121 | -99 |
| 12. | -- | Matt Kenseth | 5043 | -177 |